美赛数学建模比赛论文模板
-
The
Keep-Right-Except-To-Pass Rule
Summary
As for
the first question, it provides a traffic rule of
keep right except to
pass, requiring us
to verify its effectiveness. Firstly, we define
one kind of
traffic
rule
different
from
the
rule
of
the
keep
right
in
order
to
solve
the
problem
clearly;
then,
we
build
a
Cellular
automaton
model
and
a
Nasch
model
by
collecting
massive data;
next, we make full use of the numerical simulation
according to
several
influence
factors
of
traffic
flow;
At
last,
by
lots
of
analysis
of
graph
we
obtain,
we
indicate
a
conclusion
as
follow:
when
vehicle
density
is
lower
than
0.15, the rule of lane speed control is
more effective in terms of the factor
of safe in the light traffic; when
vehicle density is greater than 0.15, so the
rule of keep right except passing is
more effective In the heavy traffic.
As
for
the
second
question,
it
requires
us
to
testify
that
whether
the
conclusion
we obtain in the
first question is the same apply to the keep left
rule. First
of all, we build a
stochastic multi-lane traffic model; from the view
of the
vehicle flow stress, we propose
that the probability of moving to the right is
0.7and to the left otherwise by making
full use of the Bernoulli process from
the
view
of
the
ping-pong
effect,
the
conclusion
is
that
the
choice
of
the
changing
lane is random. On the whole, the
fundamental reason is the formation of the
driving habit, so the conclusion is
effective under the rule of keep left.
As for the third question, it requires
us to demonstrate the effectiveness of
the result advised in the first
question under the intelligent vehicle control
system.
Firstly,
taking
the
speed
limits
into
consideration,
we
build
a
microscopic traffic simulator model for
traffic simulation purposes. Then, we
implement a METANET model for
prediction state with the use of the MPC traffic
controller. Afterwards, we certify that
the dynamic speed control measure can
improve the traffic flow .
Lastly neglecting the safe factor,
combining the rule of keep right with the
rule of dynamical speed control is the
best solution to accelerate the traffic
flow overall.
Key
words
:
Cellular
automaton
model Bernoulli
process Microscopic
traffic
simulator model
The MPC traffic control
Content
Content
.........
..................................................
...................
2
1. Introduction
.
..................................................
...................
3
2. Analysis of the problem
<
/p>
........................................
...................
3
3. Assumption
...
..................................................
...................
3
4. Symbol Definition
..............................................
...................
3
5. Models
.......
..................................................
...................
4
5.1 Building of the Cellular automaton
model
.....................................
4
5.1.1 Verify
the effectiveness of the keep right except to pass
rule
.........
4
5.1.2 Numerical
simulation results and discussion
............................
5
5.1.3
Conclusion
.................
............................................
8
5.2 The solving
of second question
..............................................
8
5.2.1 The
building of the stochastic multi-lane traffic
model
................
9
5.2.2
Conclusion
.................
............................................
9
5.3 Taking the
an intelligent vehicle system into a
account
......................
9
5.3.1
Introduction of the Intelligent Vehicle Highway
Systems
................
9
5.3.2 Control
problem
....................
....................................
9
5.3.3 Results
and analysis
...............
....................................
9
5.3.4 The
comprehensive analysis of the result
..............................
10
6. Improvement
of the model
...............
..........................................
11
6.1 strength
and weakness
...............
.......................................
11
6.1.1
Strength
...................
...........................................
11
6.1.2
Weakness
...................
...........................................
11
6.2
Improvement of the model
..............
.....................................
11
7.
Reference
..................
..................................................
....
13
1. Introduction
As
is
known
to
all,
it
’
s
essential
for
us
to
drive
automobiles,
thus
the
driving
rules
is crucial important. In many countries like USA,
China, drivers obey the
rules
which
called
“
The
Keep-Right-
Except-To-Pass
(that
is,
when
driving
automobiles, the rule requires drivers
to drive in the right-most unless they
are passing another
vehicle)
”
.
2. Analysis of the problem
For
the
first
question,
we
decide
to
use
the
Cellular
automaton
to
build
models,
then analyze the performance of this
rule in light and heavy traffic. Firstly,
we mainly use the vehicle density to
distinguish the light and heavy traffic;
secondly, we consider the traffic flow
and safe as the represent variable which
denotes the light or heavy traffic;
thirdly, we build and analyze a Cellular
automaton
model;
finally,
we
judge
the
rule
through
two
different
driving
rules,
and then draw conclusions.
3. Assumption
In
order to streamline our model we have made several
key assumptions
The highway of double row three lanes
that we study can represent
multi-lane freeways.
The
data
that
we
refer
to
has
certain
representativeness
and
descriptive
Operation
condition of the highway not be influenced by
blizzard
or
accidental
factors
Ignore the driver's own abnormal
factors, such as drunk driving and
fatigue driving
The operation
form of highway intelligent system that our
analysis can
reflect
intelligent system
In the
intelligent vehicle system, the result of the
sampling data has
high
accuracy.
4. Symbol
Definition
i
The number of vehicles
t
The time
5.
Models
By analyzing the
problem, we decided to propose a solution with
building a
cellular automaton
model.
5.1 Building of the
Cellular automaton model
Thanks to its simple rules and
convenience for computer simulation, cellular
automaton
model
has
been
widely
used
in
the
study
of
traffic
flow
in
recent
years.
Let
x
i
(
t
)
be the position of vehicle
i
at time
t
,
v
i<
/p>
(
t
)
be
the speed of vehicle
i
at
time
t
,
p
be the random slowing down
probability, and R be the proportion
of
trucks
and
buses,
the
distance
between
vehicle
i
and
the
front
vehicle
at
time
t
is:
g
ap
i
x
i
1
(
t
p>
)
x
i
(
t
)
1
, if the front vehicle is a small
vehicle.
gap
i
x
i
1
(
t
)
< br>
x
i
(
t
)
3
,
if the front vehicle is a truck or bus.
5.1.1 Verify the
effectiveness of the keep right except to pass
rule
In addition, according
to the keep right except to pass rule, we define a
new
rule called:
Control rules based on lane speed. The
concrete explanation of the
new rule as
follow:
There is no special
passing lane under this rule. The speed of the
first lane
(the
far
left
lane)
is
120
–
100km/h
(including
100
km/h)
;
the
speed
of
the
second
lane
(the
middle
lane)
is
100
–
80km8/h
(including80km/h)
;
the
speed
of
the
third
lane (the far right
lane) is below 80km/ h. The speeds of lanes
decrease from
left to right.
Lane changing
rules based lane speed control
If vehicle on the high-speed lane meets
v
v
con
trol
,
gap
i
f
(
t
)
min(
v
i
< br>(
t
)
1
,
v
max
)
,
gap
i
b
(
t
)
gap
safe
,
the
vehicle
will
turn
into
the
adjacent
right
lane,
and
the
speed
of
the
vehicle
after
lane
changing
remains
unchanged,
where
v
control
is
the
minimum
speed
of the corresponding lane.
The application
of the Nasch model evolution
Let
P
d
be
the
lane
changing
probability
(taking
into
account
the
actual
situation that some
drivers like driving in a certain lane, and will
not take
the
initiative to change lanes),
gap
i
f
(
t
)
indicates the distance between the
vehicle
and
the
nearest
front
vehicle,
gap
i
b
(
t
)
indicates
the
distance
between
the
vehicle and the nearest following
vehicle. In this article, we assume that the
minimum safe distance gap safe of lane
changing equals to the maximum speed of
the following vehicle in the adjacent
lanes.
Lane changing rules based on keeping
right except to pass
In
general, traffic flow going through a passing zone
(
Fig.
5.1.1) involves
three processes: the diverging process
(one traffic flow diverging into two
flows), interacting process
(interacting between the two flows), and merging
process (the two flows merging into
one) [4].
Fig.5.1.1
Control plan of
overtaking process
(1)
If
vehicle
on
the
first
lane
(passing
lane)
meets
gap
i
f
(
t
)
min(
v
i
< br>(
t
)
1
,
v
max
)
and
gap
i
b
(
t
)
gap
safe
,
the vehicle
will turn
into the second lane, the speed of
the
vehicle after lane changing remains
unchanged.
5.1.2 Numerical
simulation results and discussion
In
order
to
facilitate
the
subsequent
discussions,
we
define
the
space
occupation rate as
p
(
N
CAR
3
N
truck
)
/
3
L
,
where
N
CAR
indicates the number of
small
vehicles
on
the
driveway,
N
truck
indicates
the
number
of
trucks
and
buses
on
the
driveway,
and
L
indicates
the
total
length
of
the
road.
The
vehicle
flow
volume
Q
is
the
number
of
vehicles
passing
a
fixed
point
per
unit
time,
Q
N
T
/
T
,
where
N
T
is the number
of vehicles observed in time
duration
T
.The average speed
V
a
(
p>
1
/
N
T
)
1
1
v
i
< br>t
,
v
i
t
is
the speed of vehicle
i
at
time
t
. Take overtaking
ratio
p
f
as
the
evaluation
indicator
of
the
safety
of
traffic
flow,
which
is
the
ratio
of
the
total
number
of
overtaking
and
the
number
of
vehicles
observed.
After
20,000
evolution
steps,
and
averaging
the
last
2000
steps
based
on
time,
we
have
obtained
the following experimental results. In order to
eliminate the effect
of randomicity, we
take the systemic average of 20 samples
[5].
Overtaking ratio of different control
rule conditions
Because
different
control
conditions
of
road
will
produce
different
overtaking
ratio, so we first observe
relationships among vehicle density, proportion of
large vehicles and overtaking ratio
under different control conditions.
T
i
(a)
Based on passing lane control (b)
Based on speed control
Fig.
5.1.3
Fig.
5.1.3
Relationships
among
vehicle
density,
proportion
of
large
vehicles
and
overtaking
ratio
under
different control
conditions.
It can be seen
from
Fig.
5.1.3:
(1) when the vehicle density is less
than 0.05, the overtaking ratio will
continue to rise with the increase of
vehicle density; when the vehicle density
is larger than 0.05, the overtaking
ratio will decrease with the increase of
vehicle
density;
when
density
is
greater than
0.12,
due
to
the
crowding,
it
will